Basketball betting strategies. Real strategy for basketball in live Betting strategy for basketball catch-up in quarters

Basketball is one of the most popular types sports among betting enthusiasts for a number of reasons is a dynamic game with frequent successful attacks, unique in its kind among team sports. In this article, we will analyze one of the most popular basketball betting strategies.

A basketball game is divided into quarters, which makes it one of the most convenient sports for live betting, especially for a catch-up game. In football and even hockey, where there are three periods, it is quite difficult to find a "distance" for a catch-up strategy in one match, but basketball with a match divided into four parts is almost perfect for this.

Any team can win one quarter in basketball

The essence of the basketball betting strategy "catch-up in quarters" is that almost any team can win at least one quarter in a basketball match, and it rarely happens that the match goes "in one basket" and all four quarters have one winner.

Let's check our thesis and just take 10 random matches, for example, the championship of Spain from April 12 to 25.

As you can see in the picture, there were no such matches where one team won in all quarters in our random sample, although there were two cases (Manresa - Cajasol and Baskonia - Zaragoza) when only one team, while the other was able to achieve only local draws in one or two game periods.

And this despite the fact that there were outright defeats - in the match with the Basque Country, Zaragoza, having lost 28 points in the end, was able not to lose the first quarter, and Bilbao, losing to Canarias by 18 points, won the third quarter and looked good in the first one. What are we leading to? Any team can win at least one quarter in basketball if we are talking about serious tournaments where there is no huge difference in the class, and our observations show that it is very, very difficult for one team to win all the periods of the game in basketball.

"Catch up" is better to win in the outsider's quarter

Based on these observations, we can play catch-up in quarters. Of course, it is more logical to bet on an outsider, since the coefficient on him is higher and will almost always be more than 2.0. If in the first quarter (which the favorite very often fails, giving odds to the outsider), the bet did not go through, double the amount and bet on the outsider's victory in the second quarter, and so on according to the catch-up strategy.

The meaning of this basketball betting strategy is that even in the event that the very rare situation happens when one team wins all quarters, the amount of loss after four bets will be relatively small, but as experience shows, you still need to be able to run into such a game. In most cases, the basketball game we have chosen to play will generate income in one of the catch-up stages, and in this case it is better to move to another, starting from its first quarter.

In order to avoid failure and falling into rare cases of one-click matches, you need to carefully choose matches for betting, and also do not shun in some of them the safety net in the form of a quarter X2 bet - as you can see, draws are not rare here and they should be kept in mind, especially in matches with a pronounced outsider.

This basketball betting strategy, of course, is not a win-win, but with due skill and caution, it can be successful if you bet wisely, choose the right matches and understand basketball well, and be able to correlate the strengths of teams.

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The study was conducted within the framework that I wrote about before.

Users have a lot of questions regarding the fact that the number of catch-up levels may not be enough if there are betting failures.

Let me remind you that according to the classical theory of betting according to the "" system, they make up to 8 levels. Somewhere more, somewhere less, rates are adjusted. Now I will not write about this, because the topic has already been discussed. According to my theory of betting on basketball, up to 4 levels of catch-up are planned. Many fans of betting and sports do not agree with this.

How can you reduce?

Exclusively analytics and knowledge of the system. There are no secret tricks, naked statistics.

To write this post, I analyzed the match that came to my hand, literally 15 minutes ago (!). Those. I didn't wait half a day, I didn't sand the matches. It was the second match that fell on the eye. Yes, you could pick the odds. up by the winning bid. But she went from the first bet, so I'm not really worried) So,

I took screenshots as I played, I didn't use Photoshop. You can check the data.

What is the purpose of the reduction

Watch during the matches, which usually live from 1-2 to 10 pieces per basketball. We are interested in matches in which two teams play, which have previous face-to-face meetings were about the same performance. Or matches in which one team beat the other more often, and in the current match in live the first quarter is lost (!). Those. it is quite natural that he will take the second or third. Not necessarily the whole match. And one of the quarters. Sometimes it happens that the first quarter is lost out of surprise, not gathered, or a bunch of other reasons. But it is very likely that the team that usually takes precedence over the other will play one of the quarters.

As a result of such selection, you can stop at 2-3 levels of catch-up at most. And most often comes with 1, 2 times. Try it.

Match - example

Let's go back to our match chosen as an example − Caserta — Milan. Here is the first screen.

Seeing such an alignment, in which Milan is clearly a favorite. I made the first screenshot. Caserta miraculously took the first quarter. Milan will play the match later, but the first quarter fits perfectly into our system. I will show the statistics of head-to-head meetings of these teams. It's clear who's the favorite here.

I boldly bet on the second quarter of this game with a bet to win the second quarter of Milan. Coef. was 1.5, really. But not the point. I didn't even doubt it. It could have just been more.

Second quarter

During the beginning of the quarter, I made a new screen. Look. Milan started actively. Then the truth was leveled, but as a result, he played a quarter. And then a third one. But according to my scheme, after withdrawing the winnings, I no longer bet. If the second quarter had not played, we would have bet on 3 and 4. They would have taken one for sure.

As a result of the match, Milan won. The strategy has passed.

And here is the result of the bet.

The rate was in the test. Therefore, 100r. In this case, I was more interested in the article than the win. I made screenshots during the game in Betcity BC. You can use any convenient.

Quarter betting strategies in basketball are based on live chasing a certain outcome in a quarter. It can be a total of points or an underdog win.

Quarterly Basketball Betting Strategy

A basketball game consists of 4 quarters of 10 minutes in Europe or 12 in the NBA. During the season, NBA games are played almost every day. A large number of matches, four time periods - all this makes basketball an attractive platform for bettors to experiment, seeking to find a winning strategy.

What do bookmakers offer by quarters?

In the list of a basketball match, there are bets on the indicators of individual quarters: outcome, total over/under, even/odd total.

There are markets for the total of the most and least productive quarter, as well as for their comparison by totals.

The dynamics of a basketball match, the division into time periods allows you to use catch-up when betting. The object of the catch-up may be the total points over or under, the victory of an outsider, the total even/odd.

Basketball strategy, quarter total betting

This live strategy is based on the fact that all quarters rarely play over or under. The percentage figures given by the supporters of this game system are not credible. Each player can conduct their own investigation and draw a conclusion for themselves.

The essence of the strategy: we bet on TB (or less) in the first quarter. If you lose - bet on the 2nd quarter, continuing in the same spirit in case of failure. If you win, move on to the next match.

We use odds from 1.8 to 2. Winning should compensate for previous losses and make a profit.

A variation of this strategy: bets on basketball - total less in the fourth quarter. Condition: one of the teams must be ahead of the opponent by 10 points or more. The point is that the result is a foregone conclusion, and the opponents do not tense up.

In our opinion, the wrong strategy: with such a gap in points in most cases, the struggle continues, and when the outcome is really clear, the teams can put on a show and play without defense.

Odd or Even Quarter Bets

Betting on an outsider to win in a quarter

The strategy is sometimes referred to as an underdog win against a favorite. This is a live strategy + catch-up. According to her followers, the outsider most likely wins over the favorite in at least one game segment.

Match selection. bettors' views differ significantly: from games with a clear favorite with a limit of “underdog odds no more than 7.0”, to meetings of approximately equal rivals in strength, when the odds fluctuate within 1.7–1.8.

It is more logical to choose matches with an implicit favorite: from 2.0 to 3.5 for an outsider to win. It is permissible to take games and equal opponents, but then you will have to increase the amount of the next bet, the value of which is calculated:

B \u003d (PD + NP) / (KS - 1)

According to this strategy, the player bets on the victory of the underdog, starting from the first quarter. The bet increases after a loss. Having won, the bettor leaves the match. If all quarters ended with the victory of the favorite, we continue the game in the next match.

Nuances

• Take matches from championships where the difference between the first and last team is not so obvious;
• The initial bet and bankroll must be calculated for at least 8 steps, and preferably more than 10.
• There is a similar strategy for betting on the last quarter in matches where one of the teams lost the previous three. It is based on the fact that the team leading in the score relaxes, and the opponent has a chance.

Example

Let's test the ideas on one NBA game day.

Results:

Only in one of 11 matches did the favorite win all quarters - underlined in red. If you look at the pre-match line, then the bet on the underdog was 9.7 (on the favorite 1.09).

The most aggressive followers of this system limited the coefficient to 7.0. The match was not originally suitable for this strategy.

There were two more matches with a clear favorite, where the odds for a weak team were higher than 7.0 - these were Dallas Mavericks - Houston Rockets and Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers, but in these meetings the outsider managed to "hook" a quarter.

In two of the three matches, where the favorite won the first three quarters, the outsider celebrated the victory in the last segment. The exception was the "one-wicket" match "Phoenix Suns - Los Angeles Clippers".

Humpty Dumpty, a quarterly basketball betting strategy that is a modified version of the above strategy with careful selection of matches and various options bank management.

Conclusion

Despite their attractiveness and external simplicity, the considered live strategies using catch-up require players to be careful and take a balanced approach. These are just ideas, using which bettors develop own systems games based on knowledge and experience.

The catch-up strategy is a universal way to make a profit not only in basketball, but also in other sports. Initially, the technology was used in casinos and roulettes, when the player doubled the bet after the next defeat.

Definition

Bet in catch-up means a gradual increase in the size of the coupon. If the client of the betting company has lost, the next step will be to increase the bet by a value that would cover the previous financial losses. The strategy works until the player wins back an unsuccessful bet and makes a profit.

To use the method, you will need a solid bankroll to have a margin of several steps. Experienced bettors advise to distribute the pot so that the number of bets is at least 10. The larger the reserve, the longer the method works over a long distance.

During the game, it is better to focus on events with odds of 2.00. If the selection loses, then the next coupon size is doubled. Other quotes are applicable, but an accurate calculation is needed to determine the size of the next bet.

When to bet?

Bookmaker users use the strategy when betting on a team to win in one of the quarters. The ideal condition is a meeting of teams of equal strength. In this scenario, the chance of success in one of the four periods is much higher. Quotes in this case range from 1.80 to 2.20.

Professional players and fans who have been following basketball battles for a long time know the main rule that works in 90% of events. If the team wins two quarters in a row with an inveterate advantage, then the third will remain with the opponent. The fact is that mentors in such cases provide key leaders with rest on the bench, releasing a reserve team. The opponent, on the contrary, tries to get close as soon as possible and close the gap on points. As a result, the period after the first half remains with the losing team.

Underwater rock

During betting, a situation often arises when the client cannot complete a transaction for the amount necessary for catch-up strategies. Difficulties arise due to the limit of bookmakers, who take into account such methods and try to infringe them in every possible way. Therefore, before making a bet, you need to choose an office where the restrictions are maximum or completely absent. These include,

Let's continue to study betting systems, with the help of which bettors get the opportunity to increase their capital. Basketball is one of the most popular sports in the world of betting today. The strategy for basketball in quarters is subject to study, which, when tested, showed good results.

A little digressing from the topic, I want to note why basketball is so popular among betting enthusiasts. This is due to the fact that there are a lot of basketball games; at the height of the season, an average of 80 or more matches take place daily. Such a number of games offers a wide range of matches to bet on. Let's not drag this topic out and drag it out, because "time is money", so let's go directly to the strategy.

There is nothing complicated in the strategy itself, it is simple and easy to understand. To bet according to this strategy, we first need to select the matches in which clear favorite and underdog. Surely you have already guessed that we will put in live mode. Since the phrase “quarters” is present in the name of the strategy, we can conclude that we will bet on quarters using catch-up.

Let's take a closer look at what we will bet on.

A basketball match consists of 4 quarters of 10 minutes each, in some championships a quarter lasts 12 minutes (USA, Canada, China, Philippines). The bookmaker makes it possible to bet on outcomes by quarters. This proposal interests us. Before starting, we choose a game in which a dog and an outsider meet. Having noted the match for ourselves, we bet on the victory of a weak team in the first quarter. The coefficient for such an outcome will be on average in the region of 2.3-2.5 or more.

If the outsider wins in the first quarter, we make a profit and leave this match. It is not worth continuing to bet on this meeting, as it can be risky further on and the outsider will merge the next quarters.

But the possibility that the favorite can win is not ruled out. In such a situation, it is necessary to double the size of the initial bet and bet on the victory of the underdog in the second quarter. In case of loss, we continue to bet in this way for the next quarters until your bet wins.

Quarter Basketball Strategy: Qualifying Matches

Match analysis is not difficult. To do this, you need to choose meetings in which the favorite and the outsider play. But at the same time, we draw on the handicap offered by the bookmaker, it should not exceed 10 points.

In addition, you need to study the results of the last 5 matches in the championships and 5 matches in head-to-head confrontations. If an outsider in such matches won at least one quarter, then such a match suits us. In cases where the underdog lost all quarters in at least one of the considered matches, then we skip such a game.

Alternative rate

There is an alternative betting option for this strategy. You can bet on the victory of the favorite in the quarter. The likelihood that your bet will play is much higher. Dog, even being in difficult situation, able to win at least one quarter (of course there are exceptions). But with this choice, the coefficient is correspondingly much lower. If the odds to win the favorite fell below 1.5, then I do not recommend betting on such an offer.