What is the best live basketball betting strategy? Basketball strategy by quarters Top main nuances of the betting strategy.

Quarter betting strategies in basketball are based on live chasing a certain outcome in a quarter. It can be a total of points or an underdog win.

Quarterly Basketball Betting Strategy

A basketball game consists of 4 quarters of 10 minutes in Europe or 12 in the NBA. During the season, NBA games are played almost every day. A large number of matches, four time periods - all this makes basketball an attractive platform for bettors to experiment, seeking to find a winning strategy.

What do bookmakers offer by quarters?

In the list of a basketball match, there are bets on the indicators of individual quarters: outcome, total over/under, even/odd total.

There are markets for the total of the most and least productive quarter, as well as for their comparison by totals.

The dynamics of a basketball match, the division into time periods allows you to use catch-up when betting. The object of the catch-up may be the total points over or under, the victory of an outsider, the total even/odd.

Basketball strategy, quarter total betting

This live strategy is based on the fact that all quarters rarely play over or under. The percentage figures given by the supporters of this game system are not credible. Each player can conduct their own investigation and draw a conclusion for themselves.

The essence of the strategy: we bet on TB (or less) in the first quarter. If you lose - bet on the 2nd quarter, continuing in the same spirit in case of failure. If you win, move on to the next match.

We use odds from 1.8 to 2. Winning should compensate for previous losses and make a profit.

A variation of this strategy: bets on basketball - total less in the fourth quarter. Condition: one of the teams must be ahead of the opponent by 10 points or more. The point is that the result is a foregone conclusion, and the opponents do not tense up.

In our opinion, the wrong strategy: with such a gap in points in most cases, the struggle continues, and when the outcome is really clear, the teams can put on a show and play without defense.

Odd or Even Quarter Bets

Betting on an outsider to win in a quarter

The strategy is sometimes referred to as an underdog win against a favorite. This is a live strategy + catch-up. According to her followers, the outsider most likely wins over the favorite in at least one game segment.

Match selection. the views of bettors differ significantly: from games with clear favorite with the restriction "underdog odds no more than 7.0", until meetings of opponents of approximately equal strength, when the odds fluctuate within 1.7–1.8.

It is more logical to choose matches with an implicit favorite: from 2.0 to 3.5 for an outsider to win. It is permissible to take games and equal opponents, but then you will have to increase the amount of the next bet, the value of which is calculated:

B \u003d (PD + NP) / (KS - 1)

According to this strategy, the player bets on the victory of the underdog, starting from the first quarter. The bet increases after a loss. Having won, the bettor leaves the match. If all quarters ended with the victory of the favorite, we continue the game in the next match.

Nuances

• Take matches from championships where the difference between the first and last team is not so obvious;
• The initial bet and bankroll must be calculated for at least 8 steps, and preferably more than 10.
• There is a similar strategy for betting on the last quarter in matches where one of the teams lost the previous three. It is based on the fact that the team leading in the score relaxes, and the opponent has a chance.

Example

Let's test the ideas on one NBA game day.

Results:

Only in one of 11 matches did the favorite win all quarters - underlined in red. If you look at the pre-match line, then the bet on the underdog was 9.7 (on the favorite 1.09).

The most aggressive followers of this system limited the coefficient to 7.0. The match was not originally suitable for this strategy.

There were two more matches with a clear favorite, where the odds for a weak team were higher than 7.0 - these were Dallas Mavericks - Houston Rockets and Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers, but in these meetings the outsider managed to "hook" a quarter.

In two of the three matches, where the favorite won the first three quarters, the outsider celebrated the victory in the last segment. The exception was the "one-wicket" match "Phoenix Suns - Los Angeles Clippers".

Humpty Dumpty, a quarterly basketball betting strategy that is a modified version of the above strategy with careful selection of matches and various options bank management.

Conclusion

Despite their attractiveness and external simplicity, the considered live strategies using catch-up require players to be careful and take a balanced approach. These are just ideas, using which bettors develop own systems games based on knowledge and experience.

Quarter catch-up strategy

Betting strategy for the 3rd quarter

Surely you have thought about the fact that a lot of people make bets on quarters, because they are difficult to predict, etc. It turns out that quite a lot of bettors make this kind of predictions both in the pre-match mode and in the live branch, i.e. online when the match is already in progress.

What guides cappers when choosing a match and forecast, what do they study and what are the most popular outcomes they prefer to take into their deals with bookmakers? You will learn about this from this article.

So, one of the most popular strategies is betting on the underdog to win the quarter. We choose the coefficients within 2.5-7, and we expect that at least one quarter will remain with the winner. You need to put on the "catch-up" system. For example, for the first quarter - 100 rubles, for the second (in case of losing the first) we multiply twice -200 rubles, if the second loses - we again raise the third bet twice - 400 rubles. Well, if she doesn’t enter either, we make the fourth bet 800 rubles. In most cases, the weaker team in basketball takes at least one quarter. However, there are also losses in all four quarters. Then we keep multiplying on the next match. It is important to analyze the games of underdogs, look at the statistics.

The screenshot shows 7 random results of matches from the line for the day, and in 6 matches out of 7 the outsider won 1 quarter.

Quarter Total Betting Strategy

Another popular bet is quarter total over or under, and even or odd. Let us first analyze the forecasts for TB and TM in the quarter. We can move according to the same tactics that were described above for the victory of an outsider with the help of "catching up". We choose more or less and bet with the multiplication of the bet until it comes in and in the end we remain in the black. The disadvantage of this tactic is that you need to have a decent bank. Because there are unsuccessful series, when only on the 6th or 7th bet you can win. However, if after 5 bets you cannot bet the sixth with multiplication, you will lose a decent amount.

Now let's look at even and odd trades in quarters. Professional Players, who often play this type of bet, have developed a certain tactic. We are waiting for the moment when there are two minutes left until the end of the current quarter, and if the result is still even, we bet on even. Explanation of this choice: in the remaining two minutes, teams will be able to carry out 6 attacks on average (20 seconds per attack is taken). Few people will risk throwing three-pointers, especially if the teams go toe-to-toe. And free throws are thrown very carefully, so there is a high probability that two balls will fly from free throws.

Quarter catch-up strategy

We have already touched on the strategy of "catching up" in betting on quarters earlier in the article. Now let's talk in more detail about the choice of matches, where it is better to apply it. Many professional bettors offer to select 8-10 matches in the line in the morning and write down which totals are placed on the quarters in each of them. Well, then we wait until an hour is left before the start of the meeting, and compare the odds. Where the value has changed by several “+” points (for example, there was a total of 35, and now it is 37-38), we bet everywhere on TM. And if the total for each quarter has decreased by 2-3 points, we flirt with TB. Why is that? It is most likely that the bookmakers are trying to equalize the amount of money wagered on both sides of the total.

We initially bet on the first quarter, if the deal loses, we multiply by 2 times and bet further. The whole catch-up system has already been described above, and by the numerical values ​​​​of the rates in the example, you will be able to navigate and understand how much you should bet. As soon as the bet has played, you start your journey from the beginning and place the minimum bet.

Betting strategy for the 3rd quarter

What are the good bets for the third quarter? The thing is that such forecasts are made in most cases live. And the capper already sees a picture of the match, as two quarters were played before the break. Based on these data, you can analyze how the teams will behave, run forward and throw a lot of shots, or they will dry the game a little. And you will already know the arithmetic mean from the played quarters.

Therefore, you need to analyze the playing style of the leading team. If it is more defensive, and this team managed to break away in half of the game, wait - TM. If there is such a situation on the floor that the favorite was losing, expect a powerful bulk on the opponent's ring and an active game with throws. And this is - most of all TB.

In general, it is very correct to place bets during the break, when you have seen half of the meeting, you can analyze the statistical data and make your forecast based on them. We are talking not only about over/under totals, but also handicaps, W1/W2 outcomes, and other types of bets.

How to use total betting in basketball, a practical analysis existing strategies and advice, is it possible to win, as well as an overview of programs for calculating the total match based on statistics, can you trust? All this in this article.

A feature of betting on basketball is a huge variety of totals in the line. This is due to the division of the game into halves, quarters and the presence of a large number of statistical indicators of general and individual, related to the total.

What are

What bets on total in basketball do bookmakers offer?

In the main line of the match, there is a classic total total - the number of points scored for the match by both teams. You can bet on TB or TM of the specified amount of points.

Additional total in basketball can be different. This

• Bets on a different total than the average.
• The number of points scored by teams not for the entire game, but for a certain interval - half the game, a quarter.
• Total points for even or odd (match, half, quarter)
• Individual total. These can be points scored, the number of fouls, rebounds, free throws, three-pointers, etc. The bookmaker offers similar bets on both teams and individual players. ( What happens in other sports)
• Asian Total ( what does it look like in basketball)

There are also specific bets on the total in the list:

Does the total in basketball count as overtime (OT)?

For beginners, the question inevitably arises: does the total count in basketball with or without overtime? The word overtime is often abbreviated as "OT".

There is no single approach in BC. Some count with overtime, others without.

Some bookmakers set odds separately for regular time and for overtime… Here is an example of an excerpt from the rules of a well-known bookmaker.

What is more often total even or odd?

What is more common - total even or odd. On the net, you can find arguments from supporters of both points of view, which are usually superficial.

The rules of basketball are such that in addition to two-point, three-point, free throws, there are also other situations, for example, when teams are penalized with an additional free throw (after the player scores the ball with a foul). All this makes, in my opinion, the choice of even/odd random.

That is, at a distance total even or odd has no advantage.

This is confirmed by the even/odd odds in bookmakers – they are usually the same.

However, there interesting point: when the basketball match comes to an end, there are, for example, 2-3 minutes left, the total for even/odd starts to change depending on the current score.

This suggests that in a short period of time the option of a two-point shot still becomes the most likely.

This is the basis of one of the strategies that we will consider next.

Basketball Total Betting Strategies

Review of some strategies for total in basketball.

Strategy for total in a quarter even or odd + catch-up

The strategy is simple and attractive, there are many reviews about it on the net that are diametrically opposed. Its supporters claim that it is based on statistics, namely, quarters in a basketball game very rarely go so that they all end with a total of even or odd. Regarding the probability of this, figures from 90% to 97% are given.

The strategy algorithm is as follows: We choose a basketball match, in principle, any, then we bet on the total even (or odd) in the first quarter. We watch the broadcast (or just follow the score online). The bet passes - we move on to the next match, no - we start chasing, doubling the amount of the bet on even in the second quarter, and so on until the “winning end”.

Let's try the strategy in practice

On March 27, as part of the next NBA game day, 5 meetings took place. Let's consider the action of the strategy on the example of one of them. The screenshot below gives us the statistics of the last 10 matches of both teams. The sample, of course, is small, but still we observe that 2 matches out of 20 ended with quarters for total even or odd.

Let's say our bank is 6000 rubles. The bookmaker set odds of 1.9 for the total odds.

Let's choose the "cautious" option: we will determine the planned winnings of 20 rubles, so the initial bet

20 / (1.9 - 1) = 20 / 0.9 = 22 rubles, which is 0.33% of the bankroll

If we want the profit to be fixed, then the amount of the bet must be calculated each time using the formula

S = (L + W)/K – 1, where L is the planned gain, W is the total loss, K is the coefficient.

In order not to strain the brain much, there is an online calculator for calculating

We bet on total odds in the first quarter.

The first quarter ended "not in our favor" - 27:22 (odd total). I note that in live (live) the bookmaker lowered the odds for the total odd/even in a quarter to 1.87 — Thus, we bet on the 2nd quarter in the amount of

(20 + 22)/(1.87 – 1) = 42/0.87 = 48

In the second quarter we get - 31:31 (even total).

Our winnings, as we planned, amounted to - 48 * 1.87 - (22 + 48) = 90 - 70 = 20 rubles

The bankroll we have chosen is designed for 8 iterations, that is, if two selected matches in a row are played differently than we expected, a “drain” cannot be avoided. Therefore, for the experiment, we continue the game.

The next two matches (which do not overlap each other in time), in which we repeat to play even in quarters -

Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors & Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Laker

In the first of them, only the third quarter (27:27) brings an even total.

And, finally, in the last match, I must admit, rather quickly, we get 4 odd totals.

Our loss (the sum of bets in 4 iterations) is 22 + 48 + 103 + 222 = 395 rubles

Four of them managed to “track” quarters by four. The first quarter of the meeting Detroit Pistons - New York Knicks ends with a score of 36:34, our bet passes. Profit - 20 rubles.

In the next three matches, using the above calculations, we get a fixed profit (20 rubles) on the first, second and third steps, respectively. So, for two game days of the NBA, we received an income of 20 * 6 = 120 rubles

This strategy can be modified depending on the "fantasy" of the player.

1. If the first bet has not played, for example, even, then the next bet is made on odd, etc.
2. The player enters the game in live and only if the first two quarters ended on an even or an odd number. He puts, of course, on the opposite result.

Unless, of course, we show the miracles of forecasting in comparison with the team of bookmaker analysts...

There is a way to influence this alignment. It is based on a change in the line from its initial placement until the start of the match.

The player's actions must be as follows: Early in the morning we save the recently set line for basketball (for matches that take place in the evening or at night - NBA). After 10-12 hours, we repeat this operation and begin to compare. We see that the line has changed in some positions - somewhere the total went up, somewhere down. These are the matches we are interested in. If the gap with the original line is 2 or more points, then the players have a chance to have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Let's take a closer look at the example of one of the NBA matches

In the screenshots, we see the initial total from the bookmaker - 229 and before the match - 231. Entering the additional list of the total, we find the total 229 and bet on TM (229). The coefficient in this case will be 2.19.

Line changes are usually not associated with some exclusive information received by the bookmaker, but solely with the desire of the bookmaker to equalize cash flows in both directions (this is how the bookmaker makes a profit).

Therefore, the original total remains the most probable, and we can use it.

IN individual cases when the total changes significantly, it makes sense to analyze last news from the team (for example, before the match it became known about the injury of the best sniper, bringing the team the lion's share of points).

The match selected for example ended with a total of 224, our bet played.

Let us define the basic rules of the strategy.

• Choosing a bookmaker with the most high odds. This is important, especially at a distance, if you are serious about "fighting" with the bookmaker.
• We fix the state of the line as early as possible for the matches we are interested in (optimally - immediately after it is set), preferably at least 10-12 hours before the start of the matches.
• The authors of the strategy consider 2 points to be the minimum shift in the line when a meeting can be considered suitable for our strategy.
• All bets are placed. In this case, at a distance we will have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Main rule:

With an increase in the total, we bet on TM (from the initial value)

Was 200 → became 204 → put TM (200)

When decreasing - put on TB (from the original value)

Was 200 → became 197 → put TB (200)

Conclusions.

It seems to me that the strategy is worthy of attention. It can be adopted by bettors who play flat. Searching for "value" bets requires knowledge and time, and in this case we increase our chances in confrontation with the bookmaker without spending much effort.

Shchukin's strategy for total in basketball

The strategy is based on a pre-match analysis of a basketball match and the calculation of the probable individual total of both teams based on the statistics of the last matches of the teams and personal meetings. Accordingly, it is assumed that you can correctly guess or calculate the outcome of the match and the total.

In short:

1. We select a match for analysis, not forgetting that we need team statistics.
2. We calculate the estimated total of the 1st team (hosts) using the formula. To do this, add up the points scored by the team over the last 5-7 games, and divide the resulting amount by the number of matches. Further, we add 1 for the victory to the result obtained and subtract 1.5 for each of the losses (we take into account recent meetings commands). The calculation of the total is completed by adding three points - the "master's bonus".
3. We do a similar calculation for the 2nd team, with the exception of adding a “bonus”.
4. Based on the statistics of personal meetings for three years, we calculate the average total of the 1st team in these matches. The resulting value is added to the total obtained in points 2 and divided by two. We do the same for the opposing team. As a result, we get the probable total for each of the teams.
5. At the final stage, we compare with the BC line. If the total we received differs from the total set by the bookmaker by more than 5 points, then such a match is suitable for betting. If the total in the line is more than “ours”, then we bet on TM. Accordingly, if the total in the line is less than “ours”, we bet on the TO.

Let's analyze the match analysis using an example:

1. Choose one of the NBA matches
   
2. Bookmakers often provide pre-match team statistics.
   It is, of course, incomplete detailed information can be found on one of the statistical analysis sites (for example, https://www.sport12x.com/ru/statistics?sport=9&tourn=31). Result of last 7 matches New York Knicks
   We make a simple calculation: 98 + 95 + 101 + 105 + 110 + 87 + 112 = 708
   708/7 = 101.1
   101.1 + 3 = 104.1
   104.1 + 1 – 6 *1.5 =105.1 – 9 = 96.1
3. Detroit Pistons last 7 match results
   
   87 + 95 + 96 + 112 + 75 + 83 + 96 = 644
   644/7 = 92
   92 + 1 – 6 * 1.5 = 93 – 9 = 84
4. We calculate the average totals in personal confrontations (10 meetings).
   
   New York Knicks.
   92 + 105 + 89 +102 +105 +108 + 90 + 95 (no overtime) + 81 + 95 = 962
   962/10 = 96.2
   (96.2 + 96.1)/2 = 96.15 Detroit Pistons
   112 + 102 + 102 + 89 + 111 + 96 + 112 + 95 (no overtime) + 97 + 98 = 1014
   1014/10 = 101.4
   (101.4 + 84)/2 = 92.7 So, the estimated totals of the teams are 96 and 93, total 189 points.
5. The match total set by BC was 209 points.
   Thus, our calculated total differs from the total in the line by 20 points. This, of course, is a lot. It's time to think about whether there is some kind of catch here ... If we come to the conclusion that it is not, then we can safely bet on Under (209).
   As a result, the teams scored 204 points, our bet played

But the forecast itself turned out to be far from reality.

Some features of the strategy.

• The strategy requires pre-match analysis (search for statistical data) and calculations, which makes it a little more difficult to apply
• As a result of the analysis, we have the estimated score, the individual total of the teams and the total total of the match. In my opinion, the latter is the most reliable indicator that you should focus on when choosing a bet.
• Critics of the strategy often complain about insufficiently serious analysis (extreme total results are not discarded, home and away games are not taken into account, the strength of the opponent, etc.)

Conclusions.

When talking about the passability of bets using this strategy, a figure of 70% is usually mentioned, which, of course, causes some distrust. However, everyone can test this system and draw their own conclusions. In my opinion, in the age of information, serious mathematicians are compiling software systems that can completely "calculate" the match with all its nuances. Therefore, such a strategy, based on very simplified calculations, is useful for bettors, but can hardly serve as the only basis for the game…

Strategy for Total over or under according to the results of the first half

This strategy is called in the network in different ways. main idea next. We choose a match (preferably several), fix the initial totals. Watching the first half of the meeting (two quarters). We compare the initial total and the current one, set by the bookmaker, depending on the course of the game. If the difference is 10%, then such matches suit us. If the total has fallen (teams score a little), then we bet on TB. Otherwise, the total has increased, we bet on TM.

It so happened that this strategy was tested by me on the example of the already mentioned match Detroit Pistons - New York Knicks. The total before the match was 209.

The teams started the meeting so famously that they managed to score 70 points in the first quarter. The current total reached 227 points and after the first half it stopped at 225.

The difference was 16 points, I bet on Under (225). As you can see from the next screenshot, the teams scored 204 points for two - the bet played.

Another example from practice is the NBA meeting Oklahoma City Thunder - Orlando Magic.

Total after the first half decreased by 22 points compared to the original. Following the strategy, we bet on Over (200.5).

The teams "finished the game" to overtime, but the total was "broken" in the regular time of the match (204)

What you should pay attention to when playing on this system:

• Choice of matches. Recommendations on this matter are different - the exclusion of youth games, cup finals, unpredictable "exotic" championships. It is worth agreeing that, in comparison with betting on even/odd (where, in principle, any match is suitable), it is better to focus on well-known leagues (NBA, Euroleague, etc.)
• There are different views on how to evaluate the value of the total bias when selecting matches for a bet. It was mentioned above about 10% (or the first two digits, which is the same). This is a general case, but, in principle, other options can be considered, starting with 5-7 points. Here the player can analyze the situation himself and make a decision.
• On the net, you can find a description of a strategy called "total boom basketball strategy." It also provides for catch-up in case of failure, which looks quite logical.

More strategies. Briefly

The possibilities of bettors are not limited to the presented strategies.

Another very interesting and attractive area is the strategies "" and "" on totals in basketball, which in a sense can be considered win-win.

Also popular is the quarter total strategy, based on the belief that all four quarters of a team are not playing over or under. It is similar to the even/odd quarter system, only in this case, the TB or TM in the quarter “catches up”.

Prediction for total in basketball. The role of statistics

Most popular strategies are based on statistics. Various basketball statistics services provide all kinds of information about leagues, teams, players. The priority, of course, is NBA statistics (for example, https://ru.global.nba.com/statistics/teamstats).

NBA fans know the impressive scoring records in the most popular league in the world.

The maximum number of points scored by both teams in regulation time is 320 points (Golden State - Denver, 162:158, 02.11.1990). If you take into account overtime, then 370 points (Detroit - Denver, 186:184 (3 OT), 12/13/1983).

How to predict the total in basketball

There are different approaches to solving the issue of predictions for the exact total in basketball. Some we have already discussed above.

You should definitely take into account the basis (the same as in other sports), but basketball has its own specifics:

1. Analysis physical form players (difficult schedule, moving long distances, etc.).
2. The presence of injured players in both teams. This factor can seriously affect the total. The situation must be monitored almost before the start of the match.
3. When calculating the total of each of the teams, using statistical data, it is worth considering:
   • Home field factor (if the team plays at home, then home matches are taken into account).
   • Games are discarded, the result of which is not typical for one reason or another for the team being evaluated.
   • Overtime, playoff games are not taken into account if we are talking about the "regular season" (in games through and through, the performance drops).

Possession Ratio Approach

Another interesting approach to the analysis of the total in basketball will appeal to fans of game statistics of matches. It is based on the ratio of the number of ball possessions of each team and the points scored. You can determine the effectiveness of the team's actions in attack and defense.

If there are 120 points per 100 ball possessions, the attack efficiency is 1.2 points per possession.

To calculate the probable total of the match, it is necessary to correctly predict the number of ball possessions in the match and determine the effectiveness of the teams' attacks.

In basketball, there was also a well-known scheme for calculating the total for American football. We have already considered its application for European football, for basketball it looks similar, only there it is necessary to use the average total (in relation to a particular league). For example, in the NBA, according to the service https://www.sport12x.com/ru/mathematics/basketbol/ssha_nba from 2012 to 2017, the average total was 200.45 points.

Overview of programs for calculating the total in basketball: tables, calculators

Various mathematical tools for calculating the total in basketball are actively promoted on the net on a commercial basis. The issue of their effectiveness requires a separate study. Here I will just give examples of mathematical tools that are used by bettors.

Considering Shchukin's strategy for basketball, we made calculations manually using simple formulas. The next level is automatic calculations based on Excel spreadsheets or programs.

A type of simple calculator program for calculating where information needs to be entered in a table. In contrast to the descriptions of the calculation of the total according to Schukin on the Internet, here the selection of matches is limited to six games.

Another option is to calculate directly in an Excel spreadsheet. One of them is called “Basketball Betting Analytical Program” and determines the outcome and total of the match.

Here the sample is 10 matches. In the screenshot below we see the results of the calculations.

For these funds, it is typical that statistics are entered manually.

Among the more serious programs that independently collect the necessary data, we can single out the program for betting on basketball matches WinBasket. The program window is divided into several areas. In the left one, we select a match, after which we observe the statistics of the teams and the calculated indicators - score, totals, odds. According to the authors of this program, it analyzes matches according to three schemes at once:

• Shchukin system
• Outcome/Match system
• NBA fly system

Algorithms, programs, models based on statistical analysis and probability theory are used by all participants in the betting market (bookmakers, gamblers, cappers). In the relevant forums, one can find arguments about Markov chains, the Kolmogorov-Champen equation. However, I am convinced that all this is only one of the means to achieve the goal, and the data issued by these programs cannot be taken as a 100% prediction of the upcoming event.

Summing up

Assessing the prospects for total in basketball for betting, I can say the following. Basketball is not a priority sport for me. However, when I got to know this area of ​​betting more closely, I discovered quite a lot of interesting opportunities. It is basketball that seems to me a convenient “battlefield” with a bookmaker when using various strategies related to changing the line, live betting, middles and surebets.

Basketball is one of those sports where pure time is kept. The referee's stopwatch only works when the ball is in play. If he leaves the field or there are pauses of a different nature, the time of the match stops. His countdown starts again after the ball is put into play.

The game itself is divided into four equal quarters. They can last either 10 or 12 minutes. At the same time, 12-minute segments are currently practiced only in the National Basketball Association (NBA), which exists in North America. In all other tournaments, one quarter lasts 10 minutes.

The game begins with a jump ball, which is played in the central circle of the site. Between quarters there are breaks of 2 minutes each. At the same time, the second and third quarters are separated by a big break - 15 minutes.

The team with the most points at the end of playing time (40 or 48 minutes, depending on the rules) wins a basketball game. If the score is equal, overtime is assigned (additional 5 minutes). Teams play until a winner is determined. There can be no draw, so as many overtimes as required (one, two, three, etc.) are played.

All mentioned figures refer to the net time of the match. If we take the usual time, then a basketball game, as a rule, takes about 1-2 astronomical hours (with pauses in the game, with breaks, overtime).

Special rules

Each team is given 24 seconds per attack (in the NBA - 32). The time is counted from the moment the ball hits the player's hands, and before it expires, the team must get rid of the "projectile". Otherwise, the referee will interrupt the attack with a whistle and pass the ball to the other team. As a rule, possession ends with a throw on the opponent's ring.

In addition, in the first 8 seconds of possession, the ball must be transferred from your own half of the field to someone else's. And when throwing in or during a free throw, the ball must leave the hands of the basketball player within 5 seconds. There is also a 3 second rule: this is the time limit for a player to be under the opponent's hoop.

Game duration record

In 2006, North America hosted the longest basketball game ever. The Duke and North Carolina teams played for over 58 consecutive hours from Saturday morning to Monday evening. The match was held specifically for the purpose of setting an interim record, and the proceeds from ticket sales were directed to charitable causes.

Basketball - Best game with a ball. This, of course, is not indisputable, the expression is attributed to the commentator of the Match TV channel, the well-known basketball player Vladimir Gomelsky in the past. Be that as it may, no one will argue with the fact that basketball is a spectacular and dynamic game in which everything can change at any moment. We will try to capitalize on this volatility of basketball.

Winged "swing" basketball

Basketball as a sport for betting is popular among players and enjoys well-deserved attention from bookmakers. The latter is expressed in a solid “painting” of the line even for such specific markets as the championships of Finland or Poland. Evidence of the popularity among the players is the presence of all kinds of betting strategies in basketball. One of the most famous among them is chasing the winner in quarters.

As is known, basketball game comprises 4 quarters 10 (in the American and Philippine leagues - 12 each) minutes each. As in any other sport, each match has a favorite and an underdog. Sometimes this is a very pronounced favorite - so much so that his victory is estimated at a coefficient of 1.05, and the handicap is 25-30 points.

This happens in every sport - remember at least the notorious "Real P1". But if in football the favorite, as a rule, confidently dominates throughout the match, then in basketball such a picture is not so common - even if we are talking about the favorite, whose probability of winning is estimated by bookmakers at 1.05.

For example, let's take two matches with the participation of the "heavy" favorite in the face of the Spanish "Barcelona" - football and basketball. On March 1, the Spanish grandee (1st place in the national championship) hosted the modest Sporting CP (19th place in the championship). Barça's victory was not in doubt from bookmakers, which was supported by a coefficient of 1.05. Barcelona fully lived up to the expectations of football analysts, defeating Sporting 6-1. At the same time, the Catalans confidently won in both halves: 3-1 in the first (the hosts' victory was estimated at 1.22) and 3-0 in the second (estimated at 1.15).

Basketball Barca, although it is now in 5th place in the Spanish championship (3 wins separate them from Valencia, which is in first place), is considered one of the favorites of the tournament and has no less stellar line-up than football.

On February 12, Barcelona hosted Manresa, which takes the last place in the Spanish championship. The chances of Catalan basketball players to win were estimated even higher than their football teammates - the odds for winning did not exceed 1.03, and the handicap was (-19). Has something incredible happened? No. Barcelona confidently won with a difference of 20 points (92:72), breaking through, albeit back to back, a minus handicap.

Now We'll see how things unfolded in this match in terms of quarters. Barça got off to a strong start, beating the odds set by the bookmakers (-5) for the first quarter by a large margin (33-23). After a convincing start of the favorite, the bookmakers reduced the minus handicap of Barcelona in the 2nd quarter to (-2.5), but it was also broken (22:18). The teams went to the big break with a score of 55:41. During a break bookmakers in the 3rd quarter, the Catalans were again the favorite with a handicap (-2).

But in the third quarter of the match, everything went a little differently, as BC analysts had expected. "Manresa" managed to impose a fight on the eminent opponent, and eventually reduced the difference from 14 to 12 points, winning the 3rd quarter with a 2-point advantage. The coefficient for Manresa's victory in the 3rd quarter was 2.3. In the final stretch, everything fell into place, and Barcelona again won by 8 points, breaking through the negative handicap of the 4th quarter and confidently winning the match.

Basketball live betting strategy by quarters is based on the fact that in one of the quarters the team will either be able to maintain its handicap, or even be able to win at least one quarter, like Manresa in the 3rd quarter. This system is called Humpty Dumpty.

Why does it work?

Followers of the strategy claim that even the weakest team is able to win at least one quarter. Or keep a positive handicap. Skeptics object - what prevents a strong team from taking all quarters? Why should she lose at least one of them if she is simply stronger than her opponent?

Let's figure it out.

Back to football match Barcelona - Sporting. What could a coach do? Sporting in the first half at 3-1? Stand at the edge of the field and try to shout to the players. What does a basketball coach do when his team starts to lose in the first quarter by 10 or even 15 points? That's right - he takes a timeout. He takes his board, gathers the players around him and shows them what needs to be changed.

Modern basketball - it's a chess game with over 150 different combinations. Offense alone can be played with combinations such as zone break, figure eight, combination attack, pass and go attack (pass followed by a swift dash to the ring), attack through the post, from a long distance, and so on.

The uniqueness of basketball is that the coach can take time out at any time to change the game of his team, to give instructions about winning combination. Neither in football nor in hockey does the coach have the opportunity to influence the game in such a way during the match. All this leads to the fact that the situation on the site can change at any time, sometimes in the most dramatic way. That is why basketball called"swings".

Notice what happens in NBA games when a team misses an opponent's 0-6 or 0-8 rush. The coach immediately takes a time-out, after which the team usually returns to the game, winning back the advantage.

Another important point lies in psychology. It is quite difficult to constantly maintain concentration when your team is winning by 20 or even 30 points. In one of the quarters, it is quite possible, if not to relax, then to slow down a bit in defense, and the leaders to fall down to individual actions. The opponent, for whom it is a real shame to “fly” by 20-30 points (and even in front of his fans), will surely take advantage of this, and, if not completely demoralized, will try to impose a fight, or even return to the game. We see such examples in every round of every championship..

Another important aspect is the desire of coaches to save the leaders starting five, when the result of the match is no longer in doubt. This approach is widely practiced on both sides of the ocean: in San Antonio, before the start of the final quarter, Parker and Leonard can sit on the bench, in Dallas - Nowitzki, in CSKA Moscow, convincingly defeating Parma - the entire starting five, so that young the players were able to prove themselves and get a standing ovation from the public. This is especially true in the second half of the season for European clubs, who, in parallel with the home championship, are forced to play in European competition. That is why we often see how in the last quarter the team that lost the entire match takes revenge.

All this allows us to say with confidence that the quarter won by the underdog is not just interesting statistical information, not an accident, but a real regularity of modern basketball. The bookies are well aware of this., setting limits on betting by quarters (especially for the last quarter), or even completely blocking the accounts of players who have learned the basics of basketball catch-up. You, too, can make money on basketball swings if you follow a few simple rules.

How to bet with the Humpty Dumpty system

To play the Humpty Dumpty system, you need to find a match, the bets on which will be received live.
Some followers of Humpty Dumpty argue that matches should be selected according to the following criteria:

A) The team must play better in the second half of the match than in the first.

B) Studying the statistics of the team, you need to ensure that it does not have a tendency to "drain" all quarters

IN) In head-to-head meetings, neither team must lose all quarters for more than two matches.

G) The team does not have a tendency to big losses in all but one of the quarters

It is possible that these rules work for European basketball, but they are not suitable for the NBA. An example is the game between Orlando and the New York Knicks, which took place on the night of March 1-2. In the first round match in December, the Knicks lost all 4 quarters to Orlando, but in the March meeting they took a convincing revenge, losing only the last quarter and winning the match 101:90 (the pre-match line gave odds 2, 2 for the victory of New York ” and handicap (+1) in quarters).

Through careful analysis, we find a match of equal teams or a game in which underdog can put up a fierce resistance to the favorite. In doing so, we pay special attention to:

1. - German championship
2. - Philippine Championship
3. - NBA
4. - French championship
5. -Italian championship
6. - championships of Finland and Sweden
7. - Czech championship

After the start of the match in live, we watch the first quarter, and bet on the underdog in case of losing it, or to one of the teams that lost the quarter, in case of a game of equal teams. If the underdog wins the first quarter, we exit the game and never bet on the favorite - there will be too much minus handicap for him in the next quarters. If the “heavy” favorite lost to the underdog in the 1st and 2nd quarters, then in the third quarter, the minus handicap for his victory in the quarter can reach (-10) points.

Before entering the game, we break our bank into three parts. For the second quarter we bet 15% of the bank, for the third quarter - 30% of the bank, for the 4th quarter - 55% of the bank. These numbers are not an axiom, and you can break the bank at your discretion in such a way that at each next step you can recapture the lost money and make a profit. Just don't forget that often the team wins in the last quarter.

At the same time, you can enter the game not from the second quarter, but from the 3rd or even from the 4th. In this case, we can start immediately with 30% of the bank or 55% of the bank, or wait for the team to lose in the first three quarters of the match in order to load the standard 15% of the bank into the last quarter.

Through careful analysis, you you will always find 2-3 matches a day in the European or Asian championships, and 1-2 matches in the NBA, which will be eligible for the bet. On weekends, when regular rounds of European national championships are held, there will be many times more of them.